Budgets & fiscal events· Public spending· Economy and public finances Have we lost our bouncebackability? 21 March 2014 by Matthew Whittaker In the light of latest OBR forecasts and the 2014 Budget, this paper considers where anticipated growth can come from. In the absence of widely-shared wage growth, can the UK economy grow above trend without a surge in credit? Or, must we resign ourselves to a period of subdued recovery? READ MORE
Tax Analysing the impact of increasing the personal tax allowance to £10,500 in 2015 18 March 2014 by Alex Hurrell A comparison of the effects of spending the same sum of money on two alternative tax reforms that are also being aired in the run-up to the Budget – raising the threshold at which workers have to pay NICs, and raising the higher rate tax thresholds so that fewer people get dragged into the 40 pence … Continued READ MORE
Low pay· Pay More than a minimum: The review of the minimum wage – Final report 12 March 2014 by James Plunkett and Alex Hurrell and Conor D’Arcy The final report of the Resolution Foundation’s review of the future of the National Minimum Wage. The review has worked for the past nine months under the chairmanship of Professor Sir George Bain, the founding chair of the Low Pay Commission, exploring whether the minimum wage and its supporting architecture could do more to tackle … Continued READ MORE
Low pay· Pay Minimum Wage Act II 21 February 2014 by James Plunkett and Conor D’Arcy and Tony Wilson The national minimum wage is no longer strong enough to tackle the country’s low pay problem and the policy will need to be reformed if it is to repeat the successes of its first 15 years. Professor Sir George Bain, the founding chair of the Low Pay Commission which recommends the rate of the minimum … Continued READ MORE
Living standards The State of Living Standards 11 February 2014 by James Plunkett and Alex Hurrell and Matthew Whittaker Household incomes are set to start rising again in 2015 after six years of decline according to the Resolution Foundation. The findings come in a detailed and authoritative assessment of the state of Britain’s living standards. However, the report from the independent think tank also finds that growth in disposable income for the typical household … Continued READ MORE
Childcare· Welfare Careers and Carers: Childcare and maternal labour supply 23 January 2014 by Vidhya Alakeson and Giselle Cory Around two-thirds of mothers say the cost of childcare is an obstacle to them working more, reveals a new report from independent think tank the Resolution Foundation. In a survey conducted by the Resolution Foundation and Mumsnet for the report, 67 per cent of mothers in work and 64 per cent of those not working … Continued READ MORE
Household debt· Wealth & assets Closer to the edge? Debt repayments in 2018 under different household income and borrowing cost scenarios 29 December 2013 by Matthew Whittaker Britain faces the mounting prospect of a household debt crisis as analysis from the Resolution Foundation suggests that a least a million British families, and possibly as many as 2 million, could be spending more than half their disposable income on repayments by 2018 The study uses the latest five-year growth projections from the Office … Continued READ MORE
Pay· Economic growth Growth up, wages down: something has to give 5 December 2013 by Matthew Whittaker In Growth up, wages down we consider the relationship between growth, consumption, investment, incomes and earnings in order to ascertain just how far wage growth might need to rise in order to set the economy back on track. For the purposes of illustration we consider the magnitude of wage growth that might be required to return GDP … Continued READ MORE
Low pay· Labour market· Pay Starting out or getting stuck? An analysis of who gets trapped in low paid work—and who escapes 27 November 2013 by Alex Hurrell Almost three-quarters of Britain’s workers who were on low pay in 2002 failed to escape from it over the course of the following decade. Both low pay and social mobility are recognised as serious concerns in Britain but much less attention has been given to how easy or hard it is for someone to work their … Continued READ MORE
Housing One foot on the ladder: how shared ownership can bring owning a home into reach 20 November 2013 by Vidhya Alakeson and Giselle Cory and Hannah Fearn A major expansion of newly built shared ownership could help low and modest income working families across the country onto the property ladder, while keeping their housing costs affordable. One foot on the ladder shows that shared ownership – where buyers purchase at least 25 per cent of the equity in a home and pay a low rent … Continued READ MORE
Labour market A Polarising Crisis? The changing shape of the UK and US labour markets from 2008 to 2012 14 November 2013 by James Plunkett and João Paulo Pessoa The polarisation of the UK labour market intensified during the great recession and its aftermath as low- and high-skilled jobs expanded while middle-skilled jobs fell as a share of employment. This report, produced in collaboration with the London School of Economics, lends credence to concerns that the long downturn may have pushed the UK towards … Continued READ MORE
Low pay· Pay Minimum stay: Understanding how long people remain on the minimum wage 26 October 2013 by Conor D’Arcy and Alex Hurrell Britain’s growing minimum wage workforce includes 320,000 people who have been trapped on the lowest rung of the pay ladder for five years or more. Minimum Stay shows that 17 per cent of all those currently earning the minimum wage or up to 25p an hour above it, have only ever held jobs at this pay level … Continued READ MORE
Housing Building Homes for Generation Rent 10 October 2013 by Vidhya Alakeson and Katie Blacklock and Sandra Halilovic and Tim Rothery and Nick Salisbury A low-risk income return of 4.7 per cent should be achievable for institutional investors putting money into the private rented sector – a move which could also help solve Britain’s housing crisis for families on modest incomes. Building Homes for Generation Rent identifies a £140 million property portfolio, made up of almost 800 rental homes around … Continued READ MORE
Low pay· Labour market· Pay Low Pay Britain 2013 4 September 2013 by Matthew Whittaker and Alex Hurrell Economic downturn has pushed a further 1.4 million employees below the Living Wage – the rate deemed necessary for a basic standard of living. Low Pay Britain 2013 shows that 4.8 million Britons (20 per cent of all employees) earn below the Living Wage – a leap from 3.4 million (14 per cent) in 2009 – at … Continued READ MORE
Social care· Low pay· Pay Does it pay to care? Under-payment of the National Minimum Wage in the social care sector 28 August 2013 by Matthew Pennycook Some care workers are being paid as little as £5 an hour – well below the legal minimum wage. Does it Pay to Care? shows that while headline pay rates for care workers who visit clients at home are set at or above the national minimum wage of £6.19 an hour, in practice those workers often lose … Continued READ MORE
Labour market· Childcare· Welfare All work and no pay: Second earners’ work incentives and childcare costs under Universal Credit 24 August 2013 by Giselle Cory A part-time cleaner with two children in childcare and working 25 hours a week would be £7 a week worse off than if she didn’t work at all while a part-time teacher with the same hours and childcare arrangements would be £57 a week better off under the Government’s new proposals to help working families … Continued READ MORE
Household debt· Wealth & assets· Housing Closer to the Edge? Prospects for household debt repayments as interest rates rise 11 July 2013 by Matthew Whittaker The number of families in Britain with perilous levels of debt repayments could more than double to 1.2 million if interest rates rise faster than expected in the next four years and household income growth is weak and uneven. The figures suggest that the ongoing squeeze on households could leave Britain seriously exposed if interest … Continued READ MORE
Low pay· Pay Fifteen years later: A discussion paper on the future of the UK National Minimum Wage and Low Pay Commission 4 July 2013 by James Plunkett and Alex Hurrell In 15 years the UK National Minimum Wage (NMW) has evolved from a bold and experimental labour market intervention into a permanent and generally uncontroversial tool of economic policy. The Low Pay Commission (LPC), enshrined in law in 1998 to recommend the rate of the NMW, has won widespread support, with its decisions endorsed by … Continued READ MORE
Labour market enforcement· Labour market A Matter of Time: The rise of zero-hours contracts 25 June 2013 by Matthew Pennycook and Giselle Cory and Vidhya Alakeson It is not hard to see why zero-hours contracts can appear attractive to employers. They allow for maximum flexibility to meet changing demand. They can facilitate the management of risk, reduce the costs of recruitment and training, and they can, in certain circumstances, enable employers to avoid particular employment obligations. Yet it is clear that … Continued READ MORE
Housing The challenges of build to rent for UK housing providers 24 June 2013 by Vidhya Alakeson This briefing note looks at the challenges that build to rent poses for housing providers. It is based on a six month project conducted by the Resolution Foundation and Social Finance to develop a financing model for institutional investment in a build to rent portfolio of 778 rental units nationwide aimed at middle income households. READ MORE
Budgets & fiscal events· Public spending· Economy and public finances Narrowed Horizons: The fiscal choices at Spending Review 2013 and beyond 20 June 2013 by Matthew Whittaker The government’s plans for deficit reduction have increasingly stark implications for public spending as their deadline draws nearer. While overall expenditure is set to remain relatively flat in 2015-16 (the period covered by the latest Spending Review) the pace of reduction in total government spending is due to increase significantly in the two subsequent years. READ MORE
Welfare Getting On: Universal Credit and older workers 28 May 2013 by Giselle Cory Britain is missing a crucial opportunity to encourage more older people into work because the government’s new flagship welfare reform delivers only mixed benefits for the age group. While many older workers will be better off under Universal Credit (UC) – the system replacing tax credits and several other benefits from this year – others … Continued READ MORE
Living standards· Political parties and elections 2015 – The living standards election? 29 April 2013 The electorate is broadly split over whether, come the next general election, it will still be possible for the government of the day to ensure steadily rising living standards. This analysis, ‘2015- the living standards election?’, gives a unique insight into what voters think that politicians can – and can’t – promise to achieve at … Continued READ MORE
Budgets & fiscal events· Public spending· Economy and public finances Resolution Foundation analysis of the 2013 Budget 8 April 2013 by Vidhya Alakeson and Alex Hurrell and Matthew Whittaker The Chancellor’s fourth Budget was a relatively quiet affair. While pre-announced changes mean that millions of households will face further reductions in benefit and tax credit receipts from April, the latest financial statement said nothing new about welfare cuts (though it confirmed that departmental spending is set to be tightened still further). READ MORE
Tax Will future tax cuts reach struggling working households? 2 April 2013 by Donald Hirsch This briefing looks at how exactly tax cuts interact with Universal Credit and quantifies how little low to middle income working households will keep from a higher personal allowance or a 10p tax rate under UC. It also suggests a simple way in which the Government could ensure that the benefits of tax cuts do … Continued READ MORE
