Labour market Labour market offers glimmers of hope for the Chancellor and the Bank 14 March 2023 by Greg Thwaites Today’s labour market statistics show employment has been holding up well in the face of the higher interest rates and the cost of living crisis. Meanwhile, there were encouraging early signs that labour market activity is improving and pay growth generating less inflation – a bit of good news for the Chancellor ahead of Wednesday’s … Continued READ MORE
Net zero· Productivity & industrial strategy· Economy and public finances What Britain should learn from Biden’s Inflation Reduction Act plan Like or loath the ‘protectionist’ Inflation Reduction Act’s green subsidies, America offers an example of strategic thinking 13 March 2023 by Torsten Bell The UK has lost the habit of thinking strategically. Grappling with the constraints imposed by the global and domestic economies — or reality as it is sometimes known — is deeply out of fashion these days. Debates on how the UK might respond to Joe Biden’s Inflation Reduction Act and its near $400bn of green … Continued READ MORE
Ventures WorkerTech newsletter: February 2023 The latest update from Resolution Ventures 28 February 2023 by Emma Selinger You’ve probably seen a headline or two mention economic inactivity over the past week, with various takes on who is affected and how to solve the problem. Someone who is economically inactive is a person of working age who is not in work, not looking for work, and is not in education. In this newsletter I’m sharing Resolution … Continued READ MORE
Labour market· Childcare· Welfare Mums hold the key to getting Britain working again Boosting workforce participation in the 2020s 25 February 2023 by Louise Murphy Britain has built up a lot of economic problems over the past 15 years – weak investment and productivity growth, contributing to an unprecedented pay squeeze and stagnating living standards. But there has been one metric at which we have excelled – getting more people into work. Sadly this success story has been undone somewhat since the … Continued READ MORE
Labour market Concerning rise in NEETs driven by uptick in youth unemployment New ONS figures show a sharp rise in the number of young people who are not in education, employment or training 23 February 2023 by Louise Murphy This morning, the ONS published new figures outlining the number of young people who are not in education, employment or training (NEET). Overall, 788,000 16-24-year-olds (11.5 per cent) found themselves NEET in the last three months of 2022. And there has been a sharp rise in the number of young people who are NEET in … Continued READ MORE
Labour market· Pay Good news in the latest labour market data for the Bank and the Chancellor, but bad news for the general public 14 February 2023 by Hannah Slaughter and Nye Cominetti This morning’s labour market stats bring good news and bad news. An uptick in workforce participation is good news for everyone, while signs of weakening pay pressure might ease the Bank of England’s inflation concerns. But a wider cooling of demand (seen in falling vacancies, and rising unemployment and redundancies) don’t bode well for workers. … Continued READ MORE
Economy 2030 The UK economy has recovered from doom and recession before – and it can do so again The prize for achieving stronger growth is huge 7 February 2023 by Krishan Shah The national economic debate is at its least illuminating when it descends into a form of sports reporting – with arguments about who’s up, who’s down, and who’s winning and losing. And thanks to a slew of economic forecasts – from the IMF and central banks in the US, Eurozone and the UK – this … Continued READ MORE
Ventures WorkerTech newsletter: January 2023 The latest update from Resolution Ventures 31 January 2023 by Emma Selinger Are you a founder of a social business, or have an idea for one you’d like to start? We’re partnering with Shift Design to interview founders or aspiring founders to help us improve the way we support entrepreneurs to develop their business ideas and access early-stage investment. Participants will receive a thank you of £50 for 90 minutes … Continued READ MORE
Pensions & savings· Wealth & assets· Intergenerational Centre Britain’s inheritance boom could further decouple people’s retirement age from their state pension age It’s inheritance and where you live which are the barriers to retirement 31 January 2023 by Molly Broome The UK’s state pension age is going up – and perhaps faster than expected. The age at which you can draw the state pension is due to rise from 66 to 67 by 2028. And the Government is now reportedly considering bringing forward the rise to 68 from 2046 to the 2030s, as part of … Continued READ MORE
Ventures· Social care Social Care Roundtable 27 January 2023 by Emma Selinger In 2021-22, more than one-in-ten frontline care jobs in England were vacant, up from fewer than one-in-twenty in 2012-13, with 68 per cent of current care workers saying they work under a high degree of tension. The Resolution Foundation has been exploring different aspects of the problems in the care sector, to identify what can … Continued READ MORE
Living standards· Inequality & poverty Growing inequality across Britain has left millions of families exposed to the cost-of-living crisis 25 January 2023 by Lalitha Try Today, the Office for National Statistics (ONS) published their data on household incomes and inequality for 2021-22; this is the first source of official data on household incomes for that year. 2021-22 was an eventful year. It began with the UK emerging out of major restrictions on everyday life, but by October 2021, all Covid-19 … Continued READ MORE
Pensions & savings· Wealth & assets Expand the Help to Save scheme to help the poorest 24 January 2023 by Jack Leslie It would be hard to miss the fact that the UK economy is currently in bad shape. A 40-year high in inflation, falling incomes and ever more industrial action are just some of the features of today’s Britain. But these problems have been made worse by a too often overlooked issue: many families do not … Continued READ MORE
Is the UK labour market at a crossroads? This latest ONS labour market statistics, covering November 2022, show a mixed picture 17 January 2023 by Hannah Slaughter This morning’s labour market statistics, covering November 2022, show a mixed picture. On the one hand, high levels of vacancies and low unemployment mean that the labour market remains tight. But there are early signs that this may not last much longer – vacancies have fallen markedly over the past few months, while redundancies are … Continued READ MORE
Tax Five bad ways to hand out £4 billion a year 12 January 2023 by Adam Corlett Taxes are going up, in large part due to big policy choices like the upcoming rise in the Corporation Tax rate and the prolonged freezing of various tax thresholds. Yet it’s always possible that further tax rises will be needed sooner or later, perhaps to support struggling public services, or to raise funds to allow … Continued READ MORE
Why the distribution of income matters for growth Social mobility up the ladder of opportunity matters. But there is also an important link between income distribution and economic growth 3 January 2023 by David Willetts There is a Conservative argument that what matters is absolute levels of income and wealth. Worries about how it is distributed are for Socialists. Conservatives should just get on with growing the total size of the cake. This view is one strand of conservatism. But there are also good Conservative reasons why this won’t do … Continued READ MORE
Welfare System collision The interaction of Universal Credit and Child Benefit withdrawal is creating a mess 3 January 2023 by Gavin Kelly If there is anyone out there still harbouring the quaint idea that it’s the super-rich who face the highest marginal tax rates in the land, they should think again. There are various contenders for that dubious prize but we can now announce a clear winner: the small but fast-growing group of families receiving Universal Credit … Continued READ MORE
Ventures WorkerTech newsletter: December 2022 The latest update from Resolution Ventures 21 December 2022 by Emma Selinger As we come to the end of the year we’ve been reflecting on our achievements in 2022, so in this edition you’ll find our top 10 WorkerTech highlights of the year. Do you have a WorkerTech idea that you’re developing for 2023? Book in a time to chat in January to see how we can … Continued READ MORE
Labour market Understanding the labour market context behind the current strikes 13 December 2022 by Louise Murphy The backdrop to this morning’s labour market statistics is recent strikes: around 40,000 rail workers are striking today and later in the week, and nurses and Royal Mail staff (among others) are set to strike later this month. Today’s data helps us understand the labour market context behind these strikes – workers are feeling the … Continued READ MORE
Ventures WorkerTech newsletter: November 2022 The latest update from Resolution Ventures 30 November 2022 by Emma Selinger It was great to see so many of you at our WorkerTech meetup last Monday. If you didn’t make it then don’t worry! This month I’m sharing what our WorkerTech community brought to the evening, and pointing you to some further organisations, projects and research. We’ll be hosting more WorkerTech meetups in the future, and … Continued READ MORE
Labour market· Pay Pay growth gap adds to staffing crisis in the public sector 15 November 2022 by Greg Thwaites Today’s labour market data show real pay falling fast in the private sector, and even faster in the public sector. Public sector vacancies have hit a new record, while vacancies in the private sector continue to recede gently from recent record highs. As the Chancellor prepares to announce a new round of tight public spending … Continued READ MORE
Labour market· Pay Five take-aways from the 2022 ASHE release: a bad year for pay growth, but good news on pay inequality 27 October 2022 by Nye Cominetti and Charlie McCurdy The ONS published their annual release from the Annual Survey of Hours and Earnings (ASHE) on October 26th. It’s not the timeliest data – it was collected from a survey of employers all the way back in April, and we already know from other data sources how pay has evolved through to July and August. … Continued READ MORE
Ventures WorkerTech newsletter: October 2022 The latest update from Resolution Ventures 27 October 2022 by Emma Selinger This month we’re focusing on some great events open to our readers during the remainder of 2022. Register now for Impact investing in technology to address skills and employment challenges 💸 Tuesday 15th November, 10 – 11am: Impact investing in technology to address skills and employment challenges, in partnership with Ufi VocTech Trust. An opportunity to hear about … Continued READ MORE
Pay Low unemployment belies a labour market in poor health 11 October 2022 by Greg Thwaites Today’s labour market data showed unemployment hitting its lowest rate since 1974. On the face of it, this is cause for celebration. But a shrinking labour force, not a rise in employment, drove the fall in unemployment, and this is a cause for concern. A record number of working-age people are now inactive due to … Continued READ MORE
Welfare A cut to benefits would batter millions of households Liz Truss’s threats of a real-terms cut would ramp up inequality and hamper growth 10 October 2022 by Lalitha Try The chancellor’s mini-budget has spooked the markets, stoked a rise in interest rates, and now caused a full-blown and very public cabinet row over whether to cut benefits for millions of working-age families. Some ministers are urging the prime minister to press ahead with the cut and end Britain’s “Benefit Street culture”, while others have spoken out … Continued READ MORE
Economy 2030 Britain needs to get serious about an economic strategy towards a more prosperous, fairer, greener 2030s – can you help? Call for policy ideas to help Britain become a fairer, greener, more prosperous nation 6 October 2022 by Emily Fry and Greg Thwaites The UK’s cost-of-living crisis – with rocketing food and energy prices – is making everyone poorer, and is particularly harmful to low-to-middle income households. But this recent crisis isn’t isolated, because the Britain that confronts it suffers from a toxic combination of high inequality and protracted slow growth. The UK also has great strengths … Continued READ MORE
