Food prices rising by nearly a fifth delays Britain’s exit from double digit inflation 19 April 2023 Inflation eased by far less than expected last month, with food prices continuing to accelerate and leaving Britain with double digit inflation of 10.1 per cent – twice the rate of the US (5 per cent) – the Resolution Foundation said today (Wednesday) in response to the latest ONS price data. The biggest upward pressures … Continued READ MORE
Economy 2030· Low pay Britain needs a wider ‘good work agenda’ to raise minimum standards at work not just the minimum wage 19 April 2023 Minimum wage rises mean Britain now has one of the highest wage floors in the world but remains an international laggard on wider minimum standards, with minimum wage workers receiving only a tenth of their normal earnings if they fall sick for a week. Raising minimum standards alongside the minimum wage should be the focus … Continued READ MORE
Young return to work but old and sick do not 18 April 2023 The UK workforce expanded in the three months to February, driven by young people leaving full-time education and moving into work, but the longer-term problem of rising ill-health continues to worsen, the Resolution Foundation said in response to the latest ONS labour market statistics today (Tuesday). The UK workforce continued to expand in recent months, … Continued READ MORE
One-in-six young people live in poor quality housing, and it is worsening their physical and mental health 15 April 2023 Around one-in-six people aged 18-34 – 2.6 million people in total – live in people poor quality housing, and it is having a detrimental impact on their physical and mental health, according to new research published today (Saturday) by the Resolution Foundation. The briefing Trying Times – supported by the Health Foundation – uses data … Continued READ MORE
Rising minimum wage may have protected low earners from the not-so great British training decline 6 April 2023 The share of employees receiving off-the-job workplace training has fallen by 30 per cent over the past two decades, from 9.8 per cent to 6.9 per cent. But while some might have expected low-paid, and generally lower trained, workers to have borne the brunt of this decline, in fact it has been driven by higher-paid … Continued READ MORE
Tax threshold freeze has almost tripled in size since its initial costings, with next year’s freeze set to net £12 billion 1 April 2023 The size of the UK’s ‘stealth tax’ threshold freeze over six years has almost trebled to £25 billion, compared to the £9 billion forecast when it was originally announced in the 2021 Budget, and later extended, according to new Resolution Foundation analysis published today (Saturday). Happy new tax year, 2023! examines the personal tax and benefit … Continued READ MORE
1.7 million workers set to benefit in full from near 10 per cent rise in the National Living Wage NLW has almost doubled real pay growth for Britain’s lowest earners 31 March 2023 Around 1.7 million workers are set to directly benefit when the National Living Wage (NLW) rises by 9.7 per cent to £10.42 an hour on 1st April, with new analysis showing that the NLW has almost doubled real pay growth for Britain’s lowest earners, the Resolution Foundation says today (Friday). The 92p rise in the … Continued READ MORE
Public investment is too low and too volatile thanks to Treasury ‘fiscal fine tuning’ 30 March 2023 Britain’s cycle of weak and highly volatile public investment has left the country poorer, and is so deeply embedded that a complete overhaul is needed of how we make decisions on critical public investment, according to new research published today (Thursday) by the Resolution Foundation. Cutting the cuts – the 34th report of The Economy … Continued READ MORE
Family incomes were protected over the course of the pandemic – but have fallen sharply since 23 March 2023 Unprecedented government support helped to ensure that typical disposable incomes didn’t fall over the course of the pandemic, and actually rose for poor families, in marked contrast to the biggest income squeeze in a generation that Britain is currently living through, the Resolution Foundation said today (Thursday) in response to the latest Households Below Average … Continued READ MORE
Surprise inflation rise leaves big gap in price rises facing poorer and richer households 22 March 2023 A surprise rise in inflation last month – with CPI rising from 10.1 to 10.4 per cent – will further complicate the decision over what to do about interest rates when MPC members meet tomorrow, the Resolution Foundation said today (Wednesday) in response to the latest ONS prices data. The inflation rise in February was against market … Continued READ MORE
15 years of economic stagnation has left workers across Britain with an £11,000 a year lost wages gap 20 March 2023 Over the past year, soaring inflation has caused a massive fall in workers’ real wages. But Britain’s pay problems – and the stagnation in living standards they have contributed to – go much further back. If wages had continued to grow as they were before the financial crash of 2008, real average weekly earnings would … Continued READ MORE
Budget succeeds in boosting employment but leaves household incomes stagnant, as citizens pay higher taxes to see many services cut 16 March 2023 The Chancellor announced an impressively broad suite of policies to encourage more people into work, but Britain’s economy remains stuck in a deep funk – with people supported into work but getting poorer, and paying more tax but seeing public services cut, the Resolution Foundation said today (Thursday) in its overnight analysis. The Foundation’s Budget … Continued READ MORE
Chancellor succeeds in boosting employment but not investment against a better, but still bad, economic outlook 15 March 2023 Faced with an economic outlook that has improved in the short term but remains weak, the Chancellor today (Wednesday) delivered a major policy package that is likely to be more successful at getting Britain working than investing, the Resolution Foundation said in its response to Budget 2023. Following energy price falls, the OBR has significantly … Continued READ MORE
Signs of a partial ‘return to work’ and slowing pay growth bring glimmers of good news ahead of the Budget 14 March 2023 The jobs market has remained resilient in the face of rising interest rates and the cost-of-living crisis, with unemployment stable and wage inflation moving closer to a range the Bank of England can live with, said the Resolution Foundation in response to today’s labour market statistics release. Demand for workers appears stable, with vacancies falling … Continued READ MORE
Borrowing boost means Chancellor’s Budget will deliver fresh cost-of-living support, but he faces tough choices on resolving strikes, raising employment, and reforming tax 6 March 2023 The Chancellor is set to receive a short-term borrowing boost in his Budget, some of which he will use to prevent a spike in energy bills and petrol prices next month. But in the face of a longer-term weak outlook he faces tough choices on how to resolve public sector strikes and boost Britain’s growth … Continued READ MORE
Headline trade data highlights the UK’s strengths in selling services, but hides major weakness on exporting goods 28 February 2023 Recent improvements in the UK’s trade openness have been driven by a temporary boost from the global dash for gold that has covered over a worrying fall in goods exports, and more promising growth in the exports of services such as banking, travel and education – the one area of trade where the UK has … Continued READ MORE
Ofgem price cap confirms cost of government energy support is set to fall by 90 per cent to just £1.4bn 27 February 2023 The Ofgem announcement today (Monday) that the energy price cap will fall to £3,280 in April, down from £4,279 over the past three months, confirms that the cost of universal energy support – delivered through the Energy Price Guarantee (EPG) – is likely to fall by 90 per cent next year to £1.4 billion, says … Continued READ MORE
Strong self-assessment tax receipts give Chancellor a fiscal tonic ahead of the Budget 21 February 2023 Record tax receipts from self-assessment in January and downward revisions to previous months mean that borrowing is around £30 billion lower than the Office for Budget Responsibility’s (OBR) forecast last November for the year to date, providing a fresh tonic to the Chancellor as he prepares to deliver his Spring Budget in three weeks’ time, … Continued READ MORE
Forget ‘unretiring’ the Covid cohort – mothers, older workers and people with disabilities hold the key to getting Britain working 21 February 2023 Government efforts to boost Britain’s workforce should focus on supporting more mothers into work, and helping older workers and those with a disability stay in work, rather than persuading the large Covid cohort of older workers to ‘unretire’, according to new Resolution Foundation research published today (Tuesday). The issue of workforce participation has come to … Continued READ MORE
Inflation falls, but cost-of-living gap grows 15 February 2023 CPI inflation fell for the third consecutive month to 10.1 per cent in January, but the inflation rates experienced by rich and poor households grew to 2.9 percentage points, the Resolution Foundation said today (Wednesday) in response to the latest ONS prices data. Services inflation – which is a better indicator of domestically generated inflation … Continued READ MORE
Demand for workers softer just as labour supply begins to increase, while real pay stays weak 14 February 2023 Labour market data now paint a picture of softer demand for and increased supply of workers – with rising unemployment and falling vacancies contrasting with a welcome rise in participation, the Resolution Foundation said today (Tuesday) in response to the latest ONS labour market statistics. The latest data points to a cooling down in the … Continued READ MORE
UK narrowly avoids recession amid living standards downturn 10 February 2023 The UK avoided a recession by the narrowest of margins last year, but with household incomes falling, families are still living through a living standards downturn, the Resolution Foundation said today (Friday) in response to the latest ONS GDP data. GDP in Q4 2022 was broadly flat, following a contraction in Q3, with weak trade … Continued READ MORE
Plummeting gas prices will bring a big windfall for the Chancellor, and ease the cost-of-living crisis next year 7 February 2023 New Resolution Foundation briefing The only way is down by Emily Fry and James Smith identifies: Very good news on bills (lower than they would have been) but it might not feel like it (still rising) Typical annual energy bills are now forecast to be around £2,400 next year (2023-24), down from the forecast of … Continued READ MORE
Bank upgrades Britain’s short-term economic outlook, but places country in deepest long-term stagnation since the interwar years 2 February 2023 The Bank of England upgraded its economic outlook for the UK in 2023 as it increased interest rates for the tenth successive time to 4 per cent, but also showed that the UK is in the midst of the weakest 20-year period of growth since 1938, the Resolution Foundation said today (Thursday). The Bank of … Continued READ MORE
Housing cost struggles up by 70 per cent since peak of the pandemic 28 January 2023 The cost-of-living crisis has left over two-in-five working age households struggling with or falling behind on their housing costs, compared to just over a quarter of households at the peak of the pandemic, according to new Resolution Foundation analysis published today (Saturday). The Foundation’s latest Housing Outlook uses data from a new YouGov survey of … Continued READ MORE