Lockdown labour market deep freeze eases – but the big redundancies test is yet to come 16 July 2020 The deep impact of lockdown restrictions eased slightly in May as some employees returned from furlough and self-employed workers increased their hours. But the true scale of Britain’s jobs crisis won’t be known until the Government’s Job Retention Scheme is phased out in the months ahead, the Resolution Foundation said today (Thursday) in response to … Continued READ MORE
Headline unemployment measures are failing to show the true extent of Britain’s jobs crisis 16 July 2020 The UK’s headline unemployment measure is significantly understating the recent rise in joblessness, while the often-used claimant count measure is hugely overstating the increase, according to a new Resolution Foundation report published today (Thursday). With changes to people’s employment status arguably the most important indicator of the state of the economy for most households, The … Continued READ MORE
OBR sets out the scale of economic and fiscal damage – and of the gamble the Chancellor has taken on jobs 14 July 2020 The Office for Budget Responsibility’s (OBR) latest outlook points to the biggest economic contraction in 300 years and unemployment matching its 1980s peak, highlighting the Chancellor’s gamble in not taking a bolder approach to tackling Britain’s jobs crisis, the Resolution Foundation said today (Tuesday). In three scenarios for the length of the crisis and the … Continued READ MORE
The UK economy is growing again – but GDP data says more about depths of crisis than the shape of recovery 14 July 2020 Commenting on the ONS GDP data for May 2020, which showed that the economy grew by 1.8 per cent between April and May (the largest monthly increase in over seven years), but is still down 24.5 per cent on February 2020, James Smith, Research Director of the Resolution Foundation, said: “Today’s data tells us that … Continued READ MORE
£30bn top up to pandemic support takes the total to almost 10 per cent of GDP – and borrowing to £350bn 8 July 2020 The Chancellor’s Summer Statement was a Budget in-all-but-name, with £30 billion of tax cuts and spending commitments rightly focused on jobs and some, but not all, of the hardest-hit sectors, the Resolution Foundation said today (Wednesday). While significant, the new policies only amount to a 20 per cent increase in the size of the Government’s … Continued READ MORE
Government’s Kickstart scheme could help 350,000 young people into work – but it needs to be delivered quickly 7 July 2020 Commenting on the Government’s announcement of a new Kickstart Scheme to help young people into work, Kathleen Henehan, Economist at the Resolution Foundation, said: “Young people have been hit hardest by Britain’s growing jobs crisis, with three-in-ten 18-24 year olds furloughed, and one-in-ten already having lost their jobs. So, action to keep youth unemployment down … Continued READ MORE
£200 billion stimulus package needed to secure Britain’s economic recovery 7 July 2020 A £200bn economic recovery plan is needed from the Chancellor tomorrow to reflect the unprecedented scale and nature of the crisis Britain faces, and the lack of monetary policy firepower available to support the economy, according to a major new report published today (Tuesday) by the Resolution Foundation. Easing does it makes a comprehensive assessment … Continued READ MORE
£30 billion ‘High Street Voucher’ scheme could kickstart Britain’s recovery 5 July 2020 New Resolution Foundation research published this Tuesday will call on the Chancellor to give every household in Britain High Street Vouchers worth £500 per adult and £250 per child, in order to kickstart the economic recovery by focusing support on the firms and workers hardest hit by the covid-induced economic crisis. The proposal, which forms … Continued READ MORE
Huge generational living conditions divide exposed by Covid-19 3 July 2020 The pandemic has exposed a huge generational divide in living conditions across Britain, with young people locked down with half the space and three times the risk of damp than older age groups, while renters have seen their mental health deteriorate, according to new Resolution Foundation research published today (Friday). Lockdown Living, funded by the … Continued READ MORE
Prime Minister recommitment to infrastructure spending is welcome, but far from the answer to Britain’s economic crisis 30 June 2020 Commenting on the Prime Minister’s speech today, Torsten Bell, Chief Executive of the Resolution Foundation, said: “In today’s speech, the Prime Minister returned to a key theme of both the 2019 Conservative Manifesto, and the March 2020 Budget, by recommitting to ‘level up’ the country with an ambitious of capital investment. “This the right thing … Continued READ MORE
Britain needs a ‘Full Monty’ policy response to protect and create jobs in the face of the worst unemployment crisis in a generation 29 June 2020 Britain needs a ‘Full Monty’ policy package, including a Job Protection Scheme to subsidise the wages of hospitality workers and its biggest job creation programme in peacetime, to respond to the highest unemployment since the early 1990s, according to a major new Resolution Foundation report published today (Monday). The Full Monty takes a deep dive into … Continued READ MORE
Triple Lock risks the State Pension rising three times faster than prices or earnings – and outpacing working age benefits yet again 26 June 2020 The ‘Triple Lock’ is on course to increase the cash value of the State Pension by 7.6 per cent between 2020 and 2022, compared to 2.5 per cent and 1.5 per cent increases in prices and earnings respectively, largely due to the coronavirus crisis causing earnings to fall this year and spike next year, according … Continued READ MORE
Pandemic is seeing lower income households turn to borrowing, while higher income households increase their savings 22 June 2020 Lower-income households are twice as likely as high-income households to have increased their use of consumer credit during the crisis, and are 50 per cent more likely to be saving less than usual, leaving them particularly exposed to the ongoing economic crisis, according to a major new Resolution Foundation report published today (Monday). Rainy Days, … Continued READ MORE
UK public debt now exceeds the size of the economy for the first time in nearly 60 years 19 June 2020 The impact of the pandemic has pushed the UK’s public debt level above the size of the economy for the first time since 1963, the Resolution Foundation said today (Friday) in response to the latest public finance figures. Public borrowing in May was the highest on record (£55.2 billion), and slightly higher than borrowing in … Continued READ MORE
Lockdown Britain see record-breaking falls in job vacancies and hours worked 16 June 2020 The UK experienced has experienced record falls hours worked and vacancies since the lockdown began, the Resolution Foundation said today (Tuesday) in response to the latest ONS figures. The latest ONS data shows that while the headline measure of unemployment (covering the period February to April) is yet to capture the effects of the economic … Continued READ MORE
Seaside towns and tourist hotspots at sharp end of job losses 14 June 2020 Every region of the UK is seeing a significant rise in unemployment, but coastal tourist destinations like Blackpool, Pembrokeshire and Devon are seeing the biggest jobs hit, the Resolution Foundation says in new analysis published today (Sunday). With a drop of nearly half a million PAYE workers between March and April, Britain is facing a … Continued READ MORE
Record-busting collapse in GDP as output in April falls by a fifth 12 June 2020 April saw the sharpest monthly contraction on record, with GDP falling by 20.4 per cent compared with March, the Resolution Foundation said in response to latest figures released today (Friday) by the Office for National Statistics. This monthly contraction is more than 9 times greater than any pre-pandemic monthly fall since these records began in 1997 (beating the 2.2 per cent fall in June 2002). In the three months to April output fell by 10.4 per … Continued READ MORE
Two-in-five high-income families have experienced household budget improvements during the crisis, compared to one-in-eight low-income households 9 June 2020 Nearly two-in-five (38 per cent) high-income, working-age families have strengthened their household budgets since the crisis began, by reducing their spending and avoiding a hit to their incomes, while just one-in-eight (12 per cent) low-income families have been in this position, according to a new Resolution Foundation report published today (Tuesday). Much of the debate … Continued READ MORE
Low-paid workers deserve a post-pandemic settlement of higher pay and greater control over their work RF calls for new wage boards to drive up standards in problem industries 3 June 2020 A new settlement for low-paid workers, hardest hit by both health and economic risks in this crisis, should be introduced to improve their pay and conditions as Britain emerges from the crisis, according to a new report published today (Wednesday) by the Resolution Foundation. The report notes that the UK’s 4.2 million low-paid workers have … Continued READ MORE
Private renters fifty per cent more likely to have fallen behind with housing costs than mortgagors 30 May 2020 One-in-eight (13 per cent) private renters have fallen behind with their housing costs since the coronavirus crisis started, compared to just one-in-twelve (8 per cent) mortgaged home owners, highlighting how the pandemic has exacerbated Britain’s housing divide, according to new Resolution Foundation research published today (Saturday). The report, based on a YouGov survey of 6,005 … Continued READ MORE
Chancellor right to speed up part-time furloughing, and go slow on employer contributions 29 May 2020 The Chancellor has sensibly set out a cautious timetable for bringing employer contributions into the Job Retention Scheme (JRS), alongside extending the Self-Employment Income Support Scheme that will be very generous in many cases, the Resolution Foundation said today (Friday) in response to the Chancellor’s announcement. The Foundation says that the cautious timetable for introducing … Continued READ MORE
Universal Credit has passed its first Coronavirus crisis test – but tougher challenges lie ahead Three in four new claimants surveyed were satisfied with how their UC claim was handled 27 May 2020 Universal Credit (UC) has passed its first test of the crisis by coping with an unprecedented surge in demand, but tougher challenges lie ahead in protecting family incomes and helping people back into work, according to a major new report published today (Wednesday). The report, supported by The Standard Life Foundation, considers how UC has … Continued READ MORE
Government borrowed as much last month as it did last year as the fiscal cost of coronavirus bites 22 May 2020 Government borrowing reached £62.1 billion in April – the highest monthly figure since records began in 1993, and as much as the whole of last year (£62.7bn between April 2019-March 2020) – highlighting the stark fiscal cost of the coronavirus crisis, the Resolution Foundation said today (Friday) in response to the latest ONS public finance figures. … Continued READ MORE
Top 1 per cent received a sixth of the nation’s income pre-crisis, due to hidden rise of capital gains The top 0.1 per cent’s income share is 44 per cent bigger than previously thought 21 May 2020 The Top 1 per cent received a far greater, and faster growing, share of the nation’s income pre-crisis than previously thought, if capital gains are included in official statistics, according to major new research published today (Thursday). The research – a collaboration between the Resolution Foundation, LSE and CAGE Research Centre at the University of … Continued READ MORE
Britain’s jobs crisis bites as employee jobs fall by 450,000 and vacancies dry up at record rates Response to ONS labour market statistics May 2020 19 May 2020 The number of employees fell by 450,000 in April, while vacancies crashed by around 50 per cent, giving an early indication of the scale of the jobs crisis Britain is currently experiencing, the Resolution Foundation said today (Tuesday) in response to the latest ONS figures published this morning. Flash estimates from HMRC’s PAYE real-time information … Continued READ MORE