Policy makers should have spent the summer planning for a second wave, rather than pinning hopes on a V 9 October 2020 Commenting on the latest ONS GDP figures for August, James Smith, Research Director at the Resolution Foundation, said: “Disappointing growth figures for August confirm that Britain was never on course for a V-shaped recovery. “With further restrictions coming this Autumn, the Chancellor is setting out fresh economic support this afternoon. This should include local furloughing … Continued READ MORE
Covid-19 Chancellor rightly brings back furloughing to pave the way for fresh lockdowns 9 October 2020 The Chancellor has rightly U-turned on his wish to fully phase out the furlough scheme at the end of this month, now offering to pay two-thirds of the wages of workers in firms required to be fully closed by national or local restrictions, the Resolution Foundation said today (Friday). While today’s announcement would only apply … Continued READ MORE
Covid has created a U-shaped crisis as majority of young adults and pensioners stopped working RF warns of a lost ‘covid generation’, with youth unemployment at risk of reaching its 1980s peak 8 October 2020 Hopes of a V-shaped recovery have given way to the reality of a U-shaped crisis, with young adults and young pensioners most likely to have stopped working during the pandemic, according to the Resolution Foundation’s annual Intergenerational Audit published today (Thursday). The report – supported by the Nuffield Foundation – offers the first comprehensive assessment … Continued READ MORE
Today’s MAC report is the latest reminder of the damage caused by appalling pay and conditions in the care sector 29 September 2020 Commenting on the Migration Advisory Committee’s report published this morning, Kathleen Henehan, Senior Economist at the Resolution Foundation, said: “Today’s MAC report is the latest reminder of the damage caused by appalling pay and conditions in the care sector. Expanding our social care workforce could help our covid rsponse, provide vital employment opportunities for those … Continued READ MORE
Covid-19· Living standards· Economy and public finances The Job Support Scheme will not support enough jobs – risking a major living standards squeeze 25 September 2020 The Chancellor yesterday set out a timely renewed package of economic support. But with big unemployment increases still on the cards, and design flaws in post-furloughing job support, Britain is on course for a major squeeze on living standards in the months ahead, the Resolution Foundation said today (Friday) in its overnight analysis of the … Continued READ MORE
Job Support Scheme moves jobs cliff edge to January and sets up difficult conversations between firms and workers 24 September 2020 The Chancellor’s Job Support Scheme (JSS) will help stem but not halt the sharp rise in unemployment this Autumn, but avoidable design flaws will reduce its impact, the Resolution Foundation said in response to the Winter Economic Plan today (Thursday). With public restrictions being ramped up, the Chancellor is right to have announced fresh emergency … Continued READ MORE
Minimum wage set for smallest rise in a decade, but Government should stick to plans to abolish low pay 23 September 2020 The covid crisis means the UK’s two million minimum wage workers are set to receive the smallest pay increase since 2010 – of around 15p – next April, but the economic shock does not mean the Government should abandon its pledge to abolish low pay by the middle of the decade, according to the Resolution … Continued READ MORE
Chancellor must use his Winter Economic Plan to shift from phasing out to ramping back up support for firms and workers 23 September 2020 Commenting on the Chancellor’s announcement today (Wednesday) that he has cancelled an Autumn Budget and will instead set out a Winter Economic Plan tomorrow, Torsten Bell, Chief Executive of the Resolution Foundation, said: “With the Prime Minister having ramped up restrictions to control the spread of the virus, it’s right that the Chancellor now shifts … Continued READ MORE
Phasing in restrictions while simultaneously phasing out support is not a sustainable approach to the difficult months ahead 22 September 2020 Commenting on the Government announcement today (Tuesday) of new public health restrictions to curb the rise in covid-19 infections, Torsten Bell, Chief Executive of the Resolution Foundation, said: “Phasing in restrictions to control the virus, while simultaneously phasing out support for firms and workers, isn’t a sustainable approach to the difficult months ahead. A new … Continued READ MORE
Retail workers went back to work in July, but over two in five hospitality and leisure workers still furloughed 18 September 2020 The number of furloughed workers has almost halved from its early May peak of 8.9 million to 4.8 million in late July, but hard-hit sectors like hospitality and leisure are still hugely reliant on the Job Retention Scheme (JRS) that is due to end in just six weeks’ time, the Resolution Foundation said today (Friday) … Continued READ MORE
Unemployment rising sharply before furlough scheme ends, showing workers face a tough autumn 15 September 2020 Unemployment rose sharply even before the start of the winding down of the Coronavirus Job Retention Scheme (JRS) from August, with young people at the centre of Britain’s mounting jobs crisis, the Resolution Foundation said today (Tuesday) in response to the latest ONS data. The headline unemployment picked up in the three months to July … Continued READ MORE
UK economy experienced a Summer recovery, but a tough Autumn lies ahead 11 September 2020 Commenting on the latest GDP figures for July published today (Friday), which shows that month-on-month growth was 6.6 per cent, but that monthly GDP was still 11.7 per cent down on pre-pandemic levels, James Smith Research Director at the Resolution Foundation, said: “The UK economy continued to rebound over the Summer as lockdown restrictions eased. … Continued READ MORE
The Chancellor must reconsider his plans to swiftly phase out economic support given the painful reality that the economic crisis is here to stay 11 September 2020 Commenting on the Treasury Committee’s second interim report of its inquiry into the Economic Impact of Coronavirus, which sets a wide range policy recommendations for the Chancellor ahead of his upcoming Budget, Torsten Bell, Chief Executive of the Resolution Foundation, said: “This authoritative account of the economic impact of coronavirus should be required reading for … Continued READ MORE
Government’s income support schemes have delivered for young, middle and older workers alike 10 September 2020 The £71.5 billion worth of crisis income support this year, delivered via the Job Retention Scheme (JRS), Self-Employment Income Support Scheme (SEISS) and boost to Universal Credit (UC), has been evenly shared across generations, with workers in their early 30s and late 40s receiving the most support of all, according to new research published today … Continued READ MORE
Self-isolation payments will help up to four million workers in low-income families – but vast majority of workers will miss out 27 August 2020 Commenting on the Government announcement today (Thursday) that it will pay £13 a day to workers losing earnings because they are asked to self-isolate in high Covid-risk areas if they are already in receipt of Working Tax Credit and Universal Credit, Karl Handscomb, Senior Economist at the Resolution Foundation, said: “Today’s announcement is a welcome … Continued READ MORE
Labour market· Skills Short courses in social care and ‘green jobs’ likely to help workers move out of coronavirus-hit sectors, though UK ill-prepared to deliver large-scale retraining programmes 18 August 2020 The UK’s inexperience in supporting workers through career changes does not leave policy makers with a clear roadmap for tackling unemployment, although short, specific training as part of job creation schemes could help those in hardest-hit sectors, the Resolution Foundation said today (Tuesday) in new analysis on the state of training and adult education in … Continued READ MORE
Covid-19· Housing Many first-time buyers will struggle to get on the property ladder even if house prices fall significantly 13 August 2020 House prices are projected to fall in the wake of the coronavirus crisis – but, for many young people looking to buy their first home, this trend won’t make things easier. Instead, falling incomes and the risk of more restrictive lending look set to make buying a home for the first time every bit as … Continued READ MORE
Despite record growth in June, UK suffers one of the largest coronavirus economic hits among rich countries 12 August 2020 Despite the economy growing by 8.7 per cent in June, far and away the largest monthly rise on record, the 22.2 per cent fall for the first half of the year as a whole (-20.4 per cent for Q2 on its own) is by far the weakest for any six-month period on record, and is … Continued READ MORE
No signs of a July bounce-back in jobs as early indicators show UK’s labour market is in a weak position as jobs support is reduced Response to ONS labour market statistics August 2020 11 August 2020 Hopes that the labour market would bounce-back in July in response to the lifting of lockdown restrictions are dampened by the further loss of 114,000 people from payrolls last month, the Resolution Foundation said today (Tuesday) in response to the latest ONS labour market statistics. Today’s data shows a mixed picture as the recovery enters a new phase. Hiring has restarted from a near stop earlier in … Continued READ MORE
Bank forecasts significantly stronger than in May 6 August 2020 Although the Bank of England today upgraded its forecasts for GDP significantly, its projections still suggest the UK has experienced one of the largest economic hits among rich countries, the Resolution Foundation said today (Thursday) in response to the Bank’s Monetary Policy Report. The Bank notes that in its central case – in which a … Continued READ MORE
Over half of furloughed workers have returned to work, ahead of the Job Retention Scheme’s phase-out beginning today 1 August 2020 Widespread reports that nine million workers are currently furloughed are wide of the mark, with over half of such workers already likely to have returned to work, according to new Resolution Foundation research published to coincide with the beginning of the phase-out of the Job Retention Scheme (JRS) today (Saturday). Today marks a big shift … Continued READ MORE
Men’s and women’s time use is converging – but a new income divide is emerging 28 July 2020 Gender differences in the amount of paid and unpaid work people do have shrunk over the past four decades, while the gap between low- and high-income households has grown to create a new ‘working time inequality’, according to a major new report published today (Tuesday) by the Resolution Foundation. The time of our lives, supported … Continued READ MORE
Spending Review announcement hints that planned public service spending increases could be held back 21 July 2020 Commenting on the Chancellor’s Autumn Spending Review announcement today, Torsten Bell, Chief Executive of the Resolution Foundation, said: “The Chancellor has today set out what looks like a technical announcement about the process for the Autumn Spending Review. But what he has really done is give himself more flexibility to reduce the size of public … Continued READ MORE
Borrowing breaks new records – but consolidation can only come once the recovery is secured 21 July 2020 Commenting on the latest public sector finances, which showed that the Government borrowed £127.9 billion between April and June this year – in one quarter more than twice the level of borrowing over the whole of the previous year – Charlie McCurdy, Economist at the Resolution Foundation, said: “This crisis is continuing to take its … Continued READ MORE
UK households have experienced the biggest immediate income shock since the mid-1970s Policy response has massively boosted poorest households’ incomes, but further shocks lie ahead 21 July 2020 The covid-induced crisis has caused typical working-age household incomes to fall 4.5 per cent between the pre-crisis period and May this year, despite the critical policy support that has cushioned the shock for millions of households, according to the Resolution Foundation’s Living Standards Audit published today (Tuesday). The Living Standards Audit 2020 considers the position … Continued READ MORE