Cost of living crisis: support for low-income households must be a priority 25 April 2022 Responding to today’s ONS Cost of Living release, Jack Leslie, Senior Economist at the Resolution Foundation, said: “Today’s ONS release shows that the cost of living crisis is already hitting UK families hard, with over four out of five adults already reporting an increase in their living costs between February and March 2022, and over … Continued READ MORE
Recent inflation record has already been surpassed this month as cost of living squeeze deepens 13 April 2022 The latest ONS inflation data for March published today (Wednesday) saw CPIH inflation rise to 6.2 per cent, and CPI inflation rise to 7.0 per cent. This is not only the highest rate of inflation consumers have faced in 30 years, it is also the fastest inflation has picked up over the course of a … Continued READ MORE
Britain’s pay squeeze deepens despite unemployment matching its lowest rate in nearly half a century 12 April 2022 Real average weekly pay packets fell by 1.3 per cent in February, with a far deeper squeeze coming in the months ahead, despite the jobs market continuing to tighten and last year’s furlough flattering the headline pay data, the Resolution Foundation said today (Thursday) in response to the latest ONS labour market statistics. The UK … Continued READ MORE
Pay growth ‘normal rather than exceptional’ once end of furlough boost is accounted for 9 April 2022 A tight labour market has driven underlying nominal wage growth back up, but not beyond, pre-pandemic levels according to new Resolution Foundation research published today (Saturday) that highlights the role of ending furlough in boosting headline pay growth figures. Labour Market Outlook Q1 2022 examines how strong nominal wage growth statistics should be interpreted. Despite … Continued READ MORE
2.5 million English households are set to fall into ‘fuel stress’ from today, and a further 2.5 million could follow them in October 1 April 2022 The number of English households in ‘fuel stress’ will double from 2.5 to 5 million as a result of the price cap rising from today (Friday), with another 2.5 million households at risk in October if the price cap rises again to £2,500, according to new Resolution Foundation briefing. Stressed Out shows that low-income households … Continued READ MORE
Emergency support helped to protect incomes and reduce poverty during the first year of the pandemic 31 March 2022 The Chancellor’s emergency Covid support helped to protect household incomes and reduced both absolute and relative poverty during the first 12 months of the pandemic, the Resolution Foundation said today (Thursday) in the response to the DWP’s latest Households Below Average Income (HBAI) statistics for the financial year 2020-21. The latest HBAI data, which covers … Continued READ MORE
Lack of support for low-income families will see 1.3 million people pushed into absolute poverty next year 24 March 2022 In his Spring Statement, the Chancellor promised to support families through the cost of living crisis today, and to cut their taxes in the future. But his failure to deliver on both of these means that absolute poverty is expected to rise by 1.3 million people next year, while only one-in-eight workers will see actually … Continued READ MORE
Chancellor prioritises his tax cutting credentials over low-and-middle income households with £2 in every £3 of new support going to the top half Income tax cut in 2024 will only see those earning over £49,000 paying less tax 23 March 2022 In the face of the tightest income squeeze on record, the Chancellor has provided a significant but poorly targeted package of support, the Resolution Foundation said today (Wednesday) in response to the Spring Statement 2022. Rising inflation is forecast to make the year ahead very difficult for family finances. Real household income per person is … Continued READ MORE
Sharp jump in inflation offers foretaste of the huge income squeeze coming this year 23 March 2022 Commenting on the latest ONS Prices data, which showed that CPI inflation increased by 6.2 per cent in February, up from 5.5 per cent in January, while CPIH increased by 5.5 per cent, Jack Leslie, Senior Economist at the Resolution Foundation, said: “Another sharp rise in inflation last month offers a foretaste of the huge … Continued READ MORE
Fast improving public finances provide backdrop to Chancellor Spring Statement 22 March 2022 Commenting on the latest ONS public sector finances for February published this morning, James Smith, Research Director at the Resolution Foundation, said: “The Chancellor will approach the UK’s latest crisis – the tightest income squeeze in generations, exacerbated by the Russian invasion of Ukraine – with the public finances in better shape than expected, increasing … Continued READ MORE
Higher benefits uprating will deliver four times more support to low-to-middle-income households than scrapping the rise in National Insurance contributions 21 March 2022 Uprating benefits by a further five percentage points so that they keep pace with inflation over the coming year would be the most effective way to support families hardest hit by Britain’s cost of living crisis, delivering four times more support to the bottom half of the income distribution per pound spent than scrapping the … Continued READ MORE
Unemployment nears record low but Britain’s pay squeeze deepens 15 March 2022 A tight labour market has seen unemployment fall close to a record low, but surging inflation means that Britain’s ongoing real pay squeeze is getting deeper, particularly for low earners, the Resolution Foundation said today (Tuesday) in response to the latest ONS labour market statistics. The latest ONS data depict the benefits of a tight … Continued READ MORE
Prolonged conflict in Ukraine could see a second inflation spike this autumn, reaching over ten per cent for poorest households 14 March 2022 Rising food and energy prices risk driving a second inflation spike this autumn that could reach over ten per cent for poorer households – significantly higher than the peak for richer households – requiring the Chancellor to focus support in his upcoming Spring Statement on low-and-middle-income families hardest hit by the cost of living crisis, … Continued READ MORE
Britain faces the biggest income squeeze in generations as Ukraine conflict pushes inflation towards 40-year highs 8 March 2022 The conflict in Ukraine is forecast to further push up energy prices and wider inflation (to over 8 per cent this Spring), causing typical household incomes across Britain to fall by 4 per cent in the coming financial year (2022-23), the sharpest fall since the mid-1970s, according to the Resolution Foundation’s annual Living Standards Outlook … Continued READ MORE
Almost six million families face a £320 ‘leaky homes surcharge’ as energy bills rise 1 March 2022 Soaring energy costs will lay bare Britain’s longstanding failure to better insulate its housing stock, with families living in EPC E-rated or worse homes set to face annual heating bills at least £320 higher than those living in EPC C-rated homes when the price cap jumps in April, with the total cost at £3.9 billion, … Continued READ MORE
Strong labour market drives taxes up, outweighing debt interest hit to the public finances from higher inflation 22 February 2022 The UK’s strong, Omicron-defying labour market recovery brought in higher-than-expected tax revenues and healthier public finances ahead of the Chancellor’s Spring Statement next month, the Resolution Foundation said today (Tuesday) in response to the latest ONS data. Strong receipts – including higher than expected income taxes from self-assessment and PAYE – were £26.7 billion higher … Continued READ MORE
Migration has changed the size and shape of the UK’s workforce but economic impact of new migration regime is overdone by opponents and supporters 17 February 2022 Migration has altered the size and shape of the UK labour market in recent decades, but the move to a more restrictive regime since leaving the European Union won’t drive the ‘high wage‘ economy that the Prime Minister has claimed it will, according to new Resolution Foundation research published today (Thursday). Under new management – … Continued READ MORE
Rising inflation puts Britain on course for deepest living standards squeeze in six decades 16 February 2022 Commenting on the latest ONS inflation data for January, which saw CPIH inflation rise to 4.9 per cent, its highest level in 30 years, and CPI inflation rise to 5.5 per cent, Jack Leslie, Senior Economist at the Resolution Foundation, said: “Inflation continued to tick up at the start of the year, putting ever more … Continued READ MORE
Labour market defies Omicron to continue its ‘great reset’ – but real pay squeeze deepens 15 February 2022 The UK labour market continued its ‘great reset’ at the end of last year, as vacancies and job moves reached record highs, and pay pressure started to build. But the UK still is on course for the tightest real pay squeeze in generations this Spring, the Resolution Foundation said today (Tuesday) in response to the … Continued READ MORE
Omicron briefly stalls economic recovery as attention turns to high inflation and weak trade 11 February 2022 The Omicron wave caused the economy shrink by 0.2 per cent in December, still confirming the strongest annual, peace-time GDP growth (of 7.5 per cent) the UK in almost a century, as the UK now faces up the challenges of high inflation and weak trade, the Resolution Foundation said today (Friday) in response to the … Continued READ MORE
New approach required to manage £76 billion a year spending pressures putting the UK on course for a German-sized state 10 February 2022 An ageing population and more expensive healthcare are set to increase public spending by £76 billion a year by the end of the decade, and a new approach will be needed to manage these extra costs as previous approaches of shrinking defence spending and raising National Insurance are likely to run out of road, according … Continued READ MORE
Fuel stress set to double to five million families in April as Chancellor opts for universalism over targeted support for low-income families at heart of cost of living crisis 3 February 2022 The Government’s Energy Rebate Plan, which provides almost universal support with energy bills, rather than targeted support for low-income families, will reduce but far from end the rise in fuel stress this April as a result of the energy price cap rising by £693, according to the Resolution Foundation. The Foundation’s analysis shows that – … Continued READ MORE
Fewer than one-in-three people expect to benefit from Britain’s big inheritance windfall 3 February 2022 The value of inheritances is set to double over the next 20 years, but recipients are in the minority, with fewer than one-in-three (32 per cent) having benefited or expecting to benefit from an inheritance or gift in their lifetime, according to new research published today (Thursday) by the Resolution Foundation. Intergenerational rapport fair? – … Continued READ MORE
We now know what levelling up is – George Osborne plus New Labour 2 February 2022 Commenting on the Government’s Levelling Up White Paper published today (Wednesday), Torsten Bell, Chief Executive of the Resolution Foundation, said: “We now know what levelling up is – George Osborne plus New Labour. The White Paper is all about combining the devolution of the former Conservative Chancellor, with the bigger and more activist state focused … Continued READ MORE
Young people have returned to work rapidly – but many have returned to insecure jobs and 50,000 young men have dropped out altogether 31 January 2022 Young people have returned to work rapidly, with unemployment now lower than pre-pandemic levels, but problems persist, with one-in-three 18-34-year-olds returning to atypical, often insecure work, and the number of economically inactive young men increasing by almost 50,000 since last spring, according to new research published today (Monday 31st) by the Resolution Foundation. Leaving lockdown, … Continued READ MORE