As the new tax year begins in April, the outlook for living standards is historically bleak as British households face a triple-hit from higher taxes, utility bill increases, and benefits that aren’t keeping pace with the cost of living – leaving the typical working-age household £400 worse off this financial year, according to new analysis … Continued

The combination of rises in the National Living Wage (NLW) and employer National Insurance (NI) this week will massively increase the cost of employing low paid workers and should prompt a rethink in how the minimum wage is set in future, according to new Resolution Foundation research published today (Monday). Minimum wage, maximum pressure notes … Continued

The latest Households Below Average Income (HBAI) data for 2023-24 suggests that rates of relative child poverty, food insecurity and absolute poverty have all risen for the third year in a row – and puts further pressure on the Government to deliver an ambitious promised Child Poverty Strategy, the Resolution Foundation said today (Thursday). Almost … Continued

The combination of a weak economic outlook and benefit cuts that fall disproportionately on lower-income families means that living standards are on track to fall over the next five years for the poorest half of households by £500 on average, according to the Resolution Foundation’s overnight analysis of Spring Statement 2025. Key findings include: A … Continued

A deterioration in the outlook for the public finances meant that fresh fiscal consolidation was needed in the Chancellor’s Spring Statement to meet her fiscal rules. But with £4.8 billion of the savings coming from rushed welfare changes that will leave 3.2 million families £1,700 worse off on average, this unbalanced approach risks causing significant … Continued

The government borrowed £10.7 billion in February, significantly above the Office for Budget Responsibility forecast of £6.5 billion, highlighting the perilous state of the public finances confronting the Chancellor ahead of her Spring Statement, the Resolution Foundation said today (Friday). The latest ONS data shows that the UK’s weak economic performance is showing up in … Continued

The number of payrolled jobs has flatlined and average total weekly pay levels have fallen by 1 per cent in real terms since October, adding to a picture of wider economic stagnation ahead of the Chancellor’s Spring Statement and big policy changes coming into effect this April, the Resolution Foundation said today (Thursday). The latest … Continued

The Health and Disability Green Paper will boost Universal Credit (UC) support for up to four million families without any health conditions or disability by around £3 a week. But these tiny gains are overshadowed by reforms that risk causing major income losses for those who are too ill to work, or those who no … Continued

Higher interest rates, weaker growth and lower tax revenues mean that fresh fiscal tightening is likely to be needed on 26th March for the Chancellor to meet her fiscal rules. But with the jobs market already in recession territory, she must avoid hitting the living standards of lower income families in the process, the Resolution … Continued

The Government must focus on all three drivers of incapacity and disability benefit spending – entrances, entitlements and exits – if its reforms are to stem rising spending and boost living standards by getting more people back into work, according to new research published today (Thursday) by the Resolution Foundation. Ahead of the Government’s upcoming … Continued

Low-paid workers are the least likely to receive sick pay, most affected by a lack unfair dismissal protection, and are more than ten times as likely to be on a zero-hours contract than high earners – so are most likely to benefit from the new provisions laid out in the Government Employment Rights Reform Bill, … Continued

Around one-in-seven (2.7 million) employees across Britain experience erratic earnings – defined as having four or more months in a year where their earnings are at least 25 per cent above or below their average incomings – according to new analysis from the Resolution Foundation published today (Tuesday). The report Unstable Pay, produced with the … Continued

Changes in family spending – which the Climate Change Committee (CCC) forecast will ultimately save the average household £1,080 a year in 2050 – will be the key to the next phase in Britain’s decarbonisation drive, but policy must ensure these gains are shared with poorer families, the Resolution Foundation said today (Wednesday). The CCC’s … Continued

The Government ran a record monthly surplus in January – driven by Self-Assessment tax receipts which are always concentrated in January – but looking through the bumper monthly receipts, there are signs that bad news on the economy is leading to a deterioration in the public finances and leaving the Chancellor at risk of breaking … Continued

CPI inflation rose sharply by 0.5 percentage points to 3 per cent in January 2025, exceeding market expectations of 2.8 per cent and kicking off another year or rising inflation, compounding financial pressures for low and middle-income households. Beneath the headline rate, the increase was driven by a rebound in airfares, broad-based increases in food-price … Continued

The UK labour market is blowing hot and cold, with the strongest year for pay packets in two decades contrasting with an 18-month fall in the employment rate. But of these two trends, the latter is more likely to persist into 2025, the Foundation said in response to the latest ONS labour market statistics. Payrolled … Continued

Rising bills, falling support, and a bizarre, outdated design, mean that Council Tax is increasingly resembling the dreaded Poll Tax that it replaced, as poorer households spend an ever-greater share of their income paying it, according to new Resolution Foundation research published today (Monday). Money, Money, Money – the third report of the Foundation’s Unsung … Continued

The UK economy unexpectedly grew at the end of last year, despite the Bank of England predicting last week it would be in recession territory. But GDP per capita – which closely tracks disposable income growth – is still lower today than it was before the pandemic, the Resolution Foundation said today (Thursday). Having grown … Continued

Rooftop solar panels could cut poorer households’ energy bills by almost a quarter, but big upfront costs mean millions are missing out, according to new Resolution Foundation research published today (Thursday). Sunny day savings examines what the Government’s proposed ‘rooftop revolution’ in solar energy – which could put millions more solar panels on roofs by … Continued

The Bank of England’s decision to cut interest rates from 4.75 to 4.5 per cent was expected, but two votes for even larger cuts were not. This suggest rates may come down more quickly than had previously been expected, raising the Chancellor’s hopes of lower debt servicing costs that could help the UK’s fiscal position, … Continued

Ethnic minorities spend a greater share of their household income on housing than White British counterparts but get less in return as they are more likely to live in damp or overcrowded conditions, according to new Resolution Foundation research published today (Thursday). Heritage and home reveals how stark housing affordability gaps cannot be fully explained … Continued

Higher interest rates and a weaker economic outlook could force the Chancellor to choose between fresh policy-tightening measures on 26th March, or breaking the fiscal rules she set only last October, despite markets recovering after their January jitters, according to new research published today (Thursday) by the Resolution Foundation. The Foundation’s latest Macroeconomic Policy Outlook … Continued

The Chancellor added plenty of concrete to the Government’s nascent economic strategy, setting out plans to build new railway lines, road tunnels and runways. But she’ll face tougher decisions ahead in her quest for growth, particularly on new trade agreements with India and an updated relationship with the EU, the Resolution Foundation said today (Wednesday). … Continued

New ONS population projections should, if incorporated by the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR), improve the economic and fiscal outlook, and reduce borrowing by around £5 billion, the Resolution Foundation said today (Tuesday). The new projections have revised up expectations of the working-age population in 2029-30 by around 400,000. Based on previous scenarios from the … Continued