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Labour Market Outlook

Our quarterly Labour Market Outlook lifts the lid on what’s happening beneath the bonnet of the UK labour market, and what’s in the pipeline for people’s pay and job prospects. Each edition includes a Spotlight article that focuses on an emerging labour market trend. We also produce research on the labour market and labour market enforcement.

Contacts

Nye Cominetti

Senior Economist
T: 0203 372 2963
E: nye.cominetti@resolutionfoundation.org

Hannah Slaughter

Senior Economist
T: 0203 372 2903
E: hannah.slaughter@resolutionfoundation.org
Publications

Labour Market Outlook Q4 2024

by Nye Cominetti and Hannah Slaughter

In this Labour Market Outlook, we examine how the Government should approach extending Statutory Sick Pay (SSP) to the lowest earners, and in particular what replacement rate – the proportion…
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Publications

Labour Market Outlook Q3 2024

The Growth and Skills Levy

by Sofia Corcoran and Louise Murphy

In its first few months in office, the new Labour Government has announced a host of new skills policies. [1] Arguably the most high-profile of these is the planned new…
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Publications

Labour Market Outlook Q2 2024

Happy 25th birthday to the minimum wage

by Nye Cominetti and Hannah Slaughter

This year’s minimum wage uprating is large: roughly 1.6 million workers stand to benefit directly on 1 April when the adult rate rises to £11.44 – giving a cash increase…
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Publications

Labour Market Outlook Q1 2024

by Charlie McCurdy

When comparing the pre-pandemic period to today, the national employment story has generally ­focused on the rise in inactivity due to ill health and the resultant fall in employment. However,…
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Publications

Labour Market Outlook Q4 2023

What’s happening to pay growth?

by Hannah Slaughter

Over the course of 2023, the labour market has been gradually cooling on most measures. Even ignoring data from the Labour Force Survey that has recently been called into question,…
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Comment

Real-term public sector pay falls are fuelling the recent strikes… but what lies ahead?

by Nye Cominetti

Across the past year, 3.9 million working days have been lost to industrial action– more days than at any point since the 1980s. The Resolution Foundation’s Labour Market Outlook, published…
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Publications

Labour Market Outlook Q2 2023

by Nye Cominetti and Nadim Hamdan and Hannah Slaughter

The UK has seen more strikes in the past year than in any since the 1980s. These strikes have been concentrated in the public and transport sectors, where unionisation rates…
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Publications

Labour Market Outlook Q1 2023

by Hannah Slaughter

In recent months, labour market commentary has been dominated by the knock-on effects of the ongoing cost of living crisis. High inflation continues to erode real wages, despite strong nominal…
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